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Moat Mind's avatar

Nice article! Big fan of the CROX stock at this levels. I suppose you have used the multiple approach for terminal values in your valuation estimates?

Leeder Capital's avatar

Thank you Moat Mind, it’s very compelling at these valuations.

I have yes, however multiple expansion is not critical to generate strong returns. The lower the multiple, share repurchases become more accretive.

Michael Fritzell's avatar

Great write-up. Used to be long, now short as the alt-data has turned negative. Andrew Rees is a great CEO however.

Leeder Capital's avatar

Thank you, He is a great CEO, excited to see how much Terence Reilly can do as well!

The Whatever Investor's avatar

Excellent writeup. Cheers

Leeder Capital's avatar

Thank you very much!

zed's avatar

Great write up. The only thing I would say is that HeyDude is never going to be larger than Crocs. Total addressable market means nothing really. The brand recognition of Crocs (in part driven by its divisive nature) is rooted in the unique characteristics it has. It's instantly recognisable and is basically a proprietary eponym. HeyDude stands little chance to get anywhere close to that. (And I say this having recently bought my first pair which I do absolutely love!)

The Silent Treasury's avatar

Hello there,

Huge Respect for your work!

New here. No readers Yet.

But the work has waited long to be spoken.

Its truths have roots older than this platform.

My Sub-stack Purpose

To seed, build, and nurture timeless, intangible human capitals — such as resilience, trust, evolution, fulfilment, quality, peace, patience, discipline, relationships and conviction — in order to elevate human judgment, deepen relationships, and restore sacred trusteeship and stewardship of long-term firm value across generations.

A refreshing poetic take on our business world and capitalism.

A reflection on why today’s capital architectures—PE, VC, Hedge funds, SPAC, Alt funds, Rollups—mostly fail to build and nuture what time can trust.

Built to Be Left.

A quiet anatomy of extraction, abandonment, and the collapse of stewardship.

"Principal-Agent Risk is not a flaw in the system.

It is the system’s operating principle”

Experience first. Return if it speaks to you.

- The Silent Treasury

https://tinyurl.com/48m97w5e

Steve Platz's avatar

Great write up. I ran the ruler over in 2022 but didn't jump in, seems we're being given another bite at the apple.